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New Science Shows Greenhouse Gases Under-Reported
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UK: June 22, 2006


LONDON - Many countries may be grossly underestimating the quantity of greenhouse gases they emit according to a new method of monitoring output, scientists said on Wednesday.


The new "top-down" system measures the actual amount of gases such as carbon dioxide and methane in the atmosphere, compared with the traditional "bottom-up" method which estimates what is likely to be produced on the ground.

The findings, still the subject of scientific debate, could destabilise the European Union's fledgling carbon trading system and have implications for the Kyoto treaty.

"Work at the (European Commission's) Joint Research Centre (JRC) in Italy suggests huge under-reporting of many national CH4 (methane) emissions," said Euan Nisbet of London's Royal Holloway University.

"Top-down science is still somewhat in its infancy. But the gas they measure is there, not an estimate of what they think should be there," he told Reuters.

According to work by Peter Bergamaschi at the JRC in Ispra, Italy, top-down science suggests that Britain may be reporting only half its actual methane emissions and France only two-thirds, the magazine New Scientist said on Wednesday.

By contrast, Ireland and Finland may be over-reporting the methane coming from their peat bogs.

Britain defended its estimates on Wednesday, saying they were calculated in line with international guidelines reviewed each year by independent international experts.

The government's Department of Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (DEFRA) said in a statement that it believed Bergamaschi overestimated British methane emissions by at least half.

"Bergamaschi's work cannot separate natural methane emissions from man-made ones. There is significant uncertainty in how much natural methane is produced in the UK, which is carried into Bergamaschi's model," DEFRA said.

Nisbet said making the same calculations for carbon dioxide, more plentiful but less damaging, was more complicated.

The world needed a chain of monitoring stations, similar to the seismic system set up in the 1950s to monitor nuclear bomb tests, he said.

Nisbet said China, which is building a coal-fired power station a week to fuel its booming economy, had good monitoring as had Canada, as well as Kyoto refuseniks the United States and Australia.

There was virtually no monitoring in South Asia, very little in Africa and the tropical oceans were scantily covered.


Story by Jeremy Lovell


REUTERS NEWS SERVICE

Reuters



© 2008 Reuters Limited. All rights reserved. Republication or redistribution of Reuters content, including by framing or similar means, is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of Reuters.
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22 JUN 2006
ENVIRONMENT
NEWS

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FRANCE :
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GERMANY:
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INDONESIA:
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JAPAN:
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MADAGASCAR:
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MADAGASCAR:
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NEPAL:
UN Gives Emergency Food Aid to Drought-Hit Nepal

NORWAY:
FEATURE - From World Cup to World Bank, Climate Actions Rise

ROMANIA:
Floods Kill Four Romanians, Hundreds Evacuated

UK:
Thames Water Misses Leakage Target - Again

UK:
New Science Shows Greenhouse Gases Under-Reported

UK:
FEATURE - Green Investors Warned of "Bubble" Risk

US:
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US:
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US:
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US:
Weyerhaeuser Says to Switch to More Biomass Fuel

US:
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US:
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US/UK:
South San Andreas Fault Set for Huge Quake - Study



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